Updated:

Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at least 3% lower on 2026-10-19 versus its previous close?

Prediction market for: Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at least 3% lower on 2026-10-19 versus its previous close?

Volume
11,104 USDT
Participants
2
Status
Open
Market closes
Open position

About the event

Rumor post claims JPMorgan plans to dump ~230 trillion KRW of US equities after Monday's open, sparking fears of a 'Black Monday' crash. Market resolves on the official S&P 500 closing change for 2026-10-19. Источник публикации: https://x.com/SabuCoin/status/2111863641347916180

Outcomes and probabilities

  • Yes — S&P 500 closes down 3% or more on 2026-10-198%
  • No — S&P 500 closes down less than 3% or up on 2026-10-1992%

Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.

Resolution rules

Resolution source: www.spglobal.com

Related markets

Questions about this market

When does this market close?
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at least 3% lower on 2026-10-19 versus its previous close? — October 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC.
Which outcomes are available?
Yes — S&P 500 closes down 3% or more on 2026-10-19 · No — S&P 500 closes down less than 3% or up on 2026-10-19