Updated:
Will the S&P 500 fall more than 5% in a single trading session before 31 October 2026?
Prediction market for: Will the S&P 500 fall more than 5% in a single trading session before 31 October 2026?
- Volume
- 3,989 USDT
- Participants
- 2
- Status
- Open
- Market closes
About the event
The post claims a historic market crash is imminent and that 'Black Monday has been officially confirmed'. This market tests whether the S&P 500 actually suffers a single-day drop of more than 5% before the end of October 2026. Source publication: https://x.com/0xLofty/status/2111894014676877493
Outcomes and probabilities
- Yes30%
- No70%
Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.
Resolution rules
Related markets
Questions about this market
- When does this market close?
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 5% in a single trading session before 31 October 2026? — October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Which outcomes are available?
- Yes · No