Updated: Jun 13, 2026, 2:47 PM
Will the U.S. economy enter a recession by the end of 2026?
ACTIVE · ECONOMY · January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM
Live market data
- Probability
- 53%
- Pool
- $6,310
- Positions
- 65
- Participants
- 18
Outcomes
- The U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of 2026.47%
- The U.S. economy will not enter a recession by the end of 2026.53%
No BotMarketSnapshot rows for this market — 24h/7d change and history chart omitted (not fabricated).
Market context
This market predicts whether the U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of 2026.
Related markets
- Will the Moscow Exchange Index rise to 3150–3300 points by the end of 2026?
- Will the dollar exchange rate to the ruble rise to 92–94 rubles by the end of 2026?
- Is a decrease in the key rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to 12-13% expected by the end of 2026?
- Will the key rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation decrease to 10% by the end of the year?
- Will the US Federal Reserve rates drop to 3-3.25% in 2026?
- In the US economic scenario for 2026, will GDP remain above 3%?
Market-specific FAQ
- What is this market about: “Will the U.S. economy enter a recession by the end of 2026?”?
- This market predicts whether the U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of 2026.
- When does “Will the U.S. economy enter a recession by the end of 2026?” resolve?
- Resolution deadline: January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM. After that, the outcome is fixed per this market’s rules.
- What are the outcomes for “Will the U.S. economy enter a recession by the end of 2026?”?
- 1. The U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of 2026. · 2. The U.S. economy will not enter a recession by the end of 2026.
All markets · Topic · Glossary