Updated: Jun 22, 2026, 7:41 PM
Will crude oil price hit $100?
ACTIVE · COMMODITIES · January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM
Live market data
- Probability
- 64%
- Pool
- $208
- Positions
- 54
- Participants
- 38
Outcomes
- The price of crude oil reaches $100 per barrel.64%
- The price of crude oil does not reach $100 per barrel.36%
No BotMarketSnapshot rows for this market — 24h/7d change and history chart omitted (not fabricated).
Event context
The prediction market regarding crude oil prices allows participants to assess the likelihood of oil reaching $100 per barrel. This question is significant for both investors and economists, as oil prices have a substantial impact on the global economy.
Factors Influencing Oil Prices
Oil prices are influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand, geopolitical events, changes in production capacities, and economic conditions in oil-producing countries.
For instance, OPEC's decisions on production cuts or increases can significantly affect global prices.
Historical Oil Price Data
Oil prices have fluctuated over the past decades, reaching a peak of over $140 per barrel in 2008 and a low of below $30 in 2020.
Analyzing historical data helps to understand what conditions might lead to prices rising to $100.
| Peak Price (2008) | over $140 per barrel |
|---|---|
| Lowest Price (2020) | below $30 per barrel |
| OPEC | Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries |
| Market Closure Year | 2026 |
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Market-specific FAQ
- What is this market about: “Will crude oil price hit $100?”?
- The prediction market regarding crude oil prices allows participants to assess the likelihood of oil reaching $100 per barrel. This question is significant for both investors and economists, as oil prices have a substantial impact on the global economy. Factors Influencing Oil Prices Oil prices are influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand, geopolitical events, changes in production capacities, and economic conditions in oil-producing countries. For instance, OPEC's decisions on production cuts or increases can significantly affect global prices. Historical Oil Price Data Oil prices have fluctuated over the past decades, reaching a peak of over $140 per barrel in 2008 and a low of below $30 in 2020. Analyzing historical data helps to understand what conditions might lead to prices rising to $100. Peak Price (2008): over $140 per barrel Lowest Price (2020): below $30 per barrel OPEC: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Market Closure Year: 2026
- When does “Will crude oil price hit $100?” resolve?
- Resolution deadline: January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM. After that, the outcome is fixed per this market’s rules.
- What are the outcomes for “Will crude oil price hit $100?”?
- 1. The price of crude oil reaches $100 per barrel. · 2. The price of crude oil does not reach $100 per barrel.
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