Updated: Jun 14, 2026, 6:07 PM
Will Trump lose the midterm elections?
ACTIVE · POLITICS · November 8, 2026 at 3:00 AM
Live market data
- Probability
- 56%
- Pool
- $6,788
- Positions
- 92
- Participants
- 26
Outcomes
- Trump will lose the midterm elections44%
- Trump will not lose the midterm elections56%
No BotMarketSnapshot rows for this market — 24h/7d change and history chart omitted (not fabricated).
Market context
Prediction about the outcome of Trump's midterm elections.
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Market-specific FAQ
- What is this market about: “Will Trump lose the midterm elections?”?
- Prediction about the outcome of Trump's midterm elections.
- When does “Will Trump lose the midterm elections?” resolve?
- Resolution deadline: November 8, 2026 at 3:00 AM. After that, the outcome is fixed per this market’s rules.
- What are the outcomes for “Will Trump lose the midterm elections?”?
- 1. Trump will lose the midterm elections · 2. Trump will not lose the midterm elections
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