Updated:
Will China's official U.S. Treasury holdings drop below $500B in the upcoming TIC data?
Prediction market for: Will China's official U.S. Treasury holdings drop below $500B in the upcoming TIC data?
- Volume
- 2 USDT
- Participants
- 1
- Status
- Open
- Market closes
About the event
The post claims China will dump all $590B of U.S. Treasuries ahead of a 'Black Monday' crash. Official TIC data shows China's holdings around $591B after gradual diversification, not a sudden liquidation. This market checks whether China's official holdings actually fall below $500B in the next TIC release. Источник публикации: https://x.com/CryptoNobler/status/2111849058251731292
Outcomes and probabilities
- Yes — China's holdings fall below $500B0%
- No — China's holdings stay at or above $500B100%
Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.
Resolution rules
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Questions about this market
- When does this market close?
- Will China's official U.S. Treasury holdings drop below $500B in the upcoming TIC data? — November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Which outcomes are available?
- Yes — China's holdings fall below $500B · No — China's holdings stay at or above $500B