Updated:

Will the Rassemblement National win the most seats in the next French legislative election?

Prediction market for: Will the Rassemblement National win the most seats in the next French legislative election?

Volume
200 USDT
Participants
1
Status
Open
Market closes
Open position

About the event

This market resolves based on the official results of the next French legislative election for the National Assembly. The question asks whether the Rassemblement National (National Rally) will win the most seats. If the election is held before the end of 2029, the market resolves on the official seat count published by the French Ministry of the Interior. Source publication: https://www.threads.com/share/GNSPTnek2/

Outcomes and probabilities

  • Yes — Rassemblement National wins the most seats29%
  • No — another party or bloc wins the most seats71%

Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.

Resolution rules

Resolution source: www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr

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Questions about this market

When does this market close?
Will the Rassemblement National win the most seats in the next French legislative election? — November 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC.
Which outcomes are available?
Yes — Rassemblement National wins the most seats · No — another party or bloc wins the most seats