Updated:

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons by December 31, 2027?

Prediction market for: Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons by December 31, 2027?

Volume
271 USDT
Participants
3
Status
Open
Market closes
Open position

About the event

Benjamin Netanyahu's post on X, in which he thanks Donald Trump for his support and states that together they will not allow the Iranian regime to obtain nuclear weapons. The market is assessing whether this will happen in practice by the end of 2027. Source of the post: https://x.com/netanyahu/status/2111862377163407395?s=20

Outcomes and probabilities

  • Yes11%
  • No89%

Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.

Resolution rules

Resolution source: www.iaea.org

Related markets

Questions about this market

When does this market close?
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons by December 31, 2027? — December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM UTC.
Which outcomes are available?
Yes · No