Updated:

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025 / March 31 / January 31?

Prediction market for: Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025 / March 31 / January 31?

Volume
16,472.17 USDT
Participants
1
Status
Open
Market closes
Open position

About the event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Outcomes and probabilities

  • December 31100%
  • January 310%
  • March 310%
  • December 31, 20250%

Probabilities reflect participant positions and do not guarantee the event's outcome.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Related markets

Questions about this market

When does this market close?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025 / March 31 / January 31? — January 1, 2027 at 4:59 AM UTC.
Which outcomes are available?
December 31 · January 31 · March 31 · December 31, 2025